Human-level intelligence by 2029. Not like a digital version of a conscious autonomous being and not necessarily super-human in many ways. But at or above human level abilities for most tasks, including things like programming. This is about 6 years out.
2045 we are looking at 1-6 orders of magnitude smarter than humans. To the point where humans without tight integration with AI will have no chance of keeping up or knowing what is going on, and in general developments will be beyond our ability to predict with our current intelligence (or fully comprehend).
2038. I've banked on 2038 being the real oh-shit tipping point. Just because, that would be pretty poetic. I'm taking over/unders on 03:14:07 UTC on 19 January 2038.
Chat GPT is the first time I've been able to imagine the path towards it in that timeframe