Can't China negotiate with Iran safe passage for its own oil only?

tartoran · 2026-03-09T01:11:50 1773018710

Not very likely. If only China bound oil passes through the strait all others would oppose, even destroy the tankers.

cassepipe · 2026-03-09T16:15:31 1773072931

That would be a bit crazy that a neutral third-party would get attacked by the US coalition just for being... neutral ?

bluegatty · 2026-03-09T03:42:15 1773027735

Goodness, no. The only entity interested in attacking tankers is China. Everyone else - even the US, wants the tankers to pass, even if it's to China.

China has huge leverage with Iran.

The issue is one of risk - the mere existence of hostilities means nobody can get insurance.

All Iran had to do was say 'it's shut down' - and insurance prices go through the roof.

No more oil.

The business math goes nuts.

cassepipe · 2026-03-09T16:16:34 1773072994

> The only entity interested in attacking tankers is China

I don't understand how that makes sense

> China has huge leverage with Iran.

Which is why it could negotiate safe passage for itself

Overall I don't get your point

bluegatty · 2026-03-09T21:50:33 1773093033

Sorry - I meant Iran.

The only entity interested in attacking the tankers is Iran.

Yeah, as it was written, it makes no sense.

I'm responding to someone indicating that 'China' would be involved in attacking tankers.